A disappointing year for growth in the UAE

The UAE is seeing muted growth in 2017, estimated at less than 1.5 per cent, as low oil prices and production cuts weigh on the economy.

The non-hydrocarbons sector is faring much better, with GDP growth of more than 3 per cent, but it is largely Dubai’s preparations for hosting Expo 2020 that have been driving the market.

Capital spending in Abu Dhabi (outside the hydrocarbons sector, which is having a strong year for contract awards) remains constrained, with the focus instead on completing megaprojects such as the new airport terminal, the $1.6bn strategic tunnel enhancement wastewater project and the Louvre museum, which is due to open in November.

To boost income, the federal government is introducing new taxes, beginning with excise duties on tobacco and carbonated drinks this month and VAT to follow at the start of next year. While this makes good sense economically, for the ordinary person it is another leap in the cost of living in the UAE.

With about 80 per cent the population comprising expatriates, it is essential the country remains an attractive lure for foreign workers. The rising costs coupled with stagnant wages risk tipping the balance. In this regard, it is fortunate that property prices are weakening. What would usually be seen as a negative economic barometer, falling rents and sales prices on this occasion will be welcomed by the authorities as helping to soften the blow of the new taxes being introduced. 

Related Posts
Airport stake sale will test Saudi Arabia’s resolve
Major reforms required to make aviation sector more competitive While a formal appointment has yet to be made, it appears that US-based Goldman Sachs has been chosen to advise Saudi Arabia’s Civil Aviation ...
READ MORE
UAE positions economy for recovery
Abu Dhabi's recovery depends on oil prices, while Dubai needs a rebound in aviation and tourism The UAE had 40,507 Covid-19 infections by 11 June, and although this number continues to ...
READ MORE
Decarbonisation to play central role in rail firm’s future
Customers are increasingly demanding efficient and green solutions unlike in the past where requirements focus solely on capacity and speed Customers in the transport sector are increasingly requiring efficient and green solutions from ...
READ MORE
Power plant
The power and water sector remains one of the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region’s most active project segments, and this is set to continue into 2018, with a number ...
READ MORE
CONNECT SERIES: CONSTRUCTION MEGATRENDS
Insights from the MEED Mashreq Connect Series webinar on megatrends that will reshape construction in the coming decade Watch the complete webinar A hub between Europe, Asia and Africa, with vast hydrocarbons ...
READ MORE
Producers renew upstream investment
Oil producers continue to focus on developing projects to increase production capacity, while the gas sector is set to benefit from the move away from coal and oil Global demand for ...
READ MORE
Construction
As project sponsors and construction clients seek ever greater levels of return on their investments, it is becoming increasingly important for anyone involved in project delivery to find ways to ...
READ MORE
The transformation of regional power
The Middle East’s power sector is on a transformational path, with governments working to shore up energy security and delegate responsibilities to the private sector Demand growth for additional generation capacity ...
READ MORE
Finding a regional model for PPP
Investors require a concerted display of political will to engage in the hundred billion dollars-worth of planned PPP projects across the region Sustained low oil prices between 2015 and 2017 drove ...
READ MORE
Coronavirus executive briefing from MEED
Understand the Covid-19 outbreak, its impact on the global and regional economy, and initial implications for specific sectors   Click here to download the full document
READ MORE
Airport stake sale will test Saudi Arabia’s resolve
UAE positions economy for recovery
Decarbonisation to play central role in rail firm’s
Power and water sector undergoes major reforms
CONNECT SERIES: CONSTRUCTION MEGATRENDS
Producers renew upstream investment
Improving productivity and efficiency in the region’s construction
The transformation of regional power
Finding a regional model for PPP
Coronavirus executive briefing from MEED
09 November, 2017 | .By ELIZABETH BAINS